Regime change from within constitutes a third path between military confrontation and appeasement in Iran

Feb 14
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By Iran Probe Staff

Wednesday, 14 February 2018

In a paper published in Hill, referring to the possibility of a regime change in Iran by the people, Prof. Tanter and prof. Sheehan asked U.S. policymakers to support the uprising of the Iranian people, in line with the main opposition of the Iranian regime.

Professor Raymond Tanter, former member of the U.S. National Security Council and Prof. Ivan Sascha Sheehan, director of the graduate program in Global Affairs and Human Security at the School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Baltimore, wrote on Sunday, February 22, in the US-Congressional-affiliated Hill Journal: “Tehran is facing its most significant internal uprising since 2009. Tehran’s aggression toward protesters demonstrating for freedom has left the regime defensive in the context of Washington’s increasingly offensive posture. Moreover, the bipartisan American coalition backing Iran protesters has rattled the regime’s clerical rulers and increased the prospect of a revolution by the Iranian people.”

“Tehran has long embraced a siege mentality to distract from global calls for good governance”. But “Tehran fears internal dissent more than they do external threats — even the threat of preemptive force.” They added.

They suggested: "U.S. policymakers interested in leveraging the discontent on the Iranian Street” to "support the ongoing anti-regime uprising by striking a chord of solidarity with the regime’s principal opposition to clerical rule, the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI)."

 They noticed, "A 2013 Iran Policy Committee study found Tehran pays more attention to this dissident movement than all other opposition groups combined."

They stressed, “Credible regime change in an Iranian context involves empowerment, recognition, and solidarity with the regime’s principal democratic opposition, not preemption or occupation.”

Link to the article in The Hill


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