Mohsen Renani, a state-affiliated economist and university professor, has written an article titled “Collapse” in which he states that the Iranian regime has gone through the “first three stages” of the “collapse occurrence” and it is unclear to what extent it can prevent the final stage of collapse with what he called “resistance, violence, and crackdown on society”.
Renani published the article on his website on Friday, February 17. He wrote that he had initially sent the text, which was written two months ago, to former FM Javad Zarif to convey it to the Supreme Leader, but after Zarif’s failure to deliver the message to Ali Khamenei, he decided to make it public.
Renani wrote: “Whether Iran moves towards the model of Chile and South Africa or towards the ones of Libya and Syria, depends primarily on the behavior of the government and then on the behavior of the society.”
He emphasized that the opportunity for “reforms from above” has been lost, but the possibility of a “revolution from above” still exists.
This university professor also explained: “The prerequisite for the success of reforms from above is the credibility of the political system, and now the political system has lost its credibility in the minds of a large part of the society.”
Warning the most senior state officials, he said: “You must know that even if you try to psychologically discourage this generation with harsh suppression methods, this generation has reached a stage of hope and can create new hopeful horizons at any moment.”